Publication date: Jan 24, 2025

This study quantifies the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on hospitalization for COVID-19 infection in a South African private health insurance population. This retrospective cohort study is based on the analysis of demographic and claims records for 550,332 individuals belonging to two health insurance funds between 1 March 2020 and 31 December 2022. A Cox Proportional Hazards model was used to estimate the impact of vaccination (non-vaccinated, partly vaccinated, fully vaccinated) on COVID-19 hospitalization risk; and zero-inflated negative binomial models were used to estimate the impact of vaccination on hospital utilization and hospital expenditure for COVID-19 infection, with adjustments for age, sex, comorbidities and province of residence. In comparison to the non-vaccinated, the hospitalization rate for COVID-19 was 94. 51% (aHR 0. 06, 95%CI 0. 06, 0. 07) and 93. 49% (aHR 0. 07, 95%CI 0. 06, 0. 07) lower for the partly and fully vaccinated respectively; hospital utilization was 17. 70% (95% CI 24. 78%, 9. 95%) and 20. 04% (95% CI 28. 26%, 10. 88%) lower; the relative risk of zero hospital days was 4. 34 (95% CI 4. 02, 4. 68) and 18. 55 (95% CI 17. 12, 20. 11) higher; hospital expenditure was 32. 83% (95% CI 41. 06%, 23. 44%) and 55. 29% (95% CI 61. 13%, 48. 57%) lower; and the relative risk of zero hospital expenditure was 4. 38 (95% CI 4. 06, 4. 73) and 18. 61 (95% CI 17. 18, 20. 16) higher for the partly and fully vaccinated respectively. Taken together, findings indicate that all measures of hospitalization for COVID-19 infection were significantly lower in the partly or fully vaccinated in comparison to the non-vaccinated. The use of real-world data and an aggregated level of analysis resulted in the study having several limitations. While the overall results may not be generalizable to other populations, the findings add to the evidence based on the impact of COVID-19 vaccination during the period of the pandemic.

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