Short-term effects of ambient air pollution on influenza incidence in Chongqing, China: a time-series analysis.

Short-term effects of ambient air pollution on influenza incidence in Chongqing, China: a time-series analysis.

Publication date: Feb 08, 2025

This study investigated the relationship between air pollution and influenza incidence in Chongqing from 2013 to 2022 using a generalized additive model (GAM), analyzing 199,712 cases. Subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the impact of age, gender, season, and the COVID-19. Influenza incidence was positively associated with PM, PM, SO, NO and CO, but negatively with O. SO had the most effect. In single-day lag models, the largest percentage changes in influenza incidence at lag0 for each pollutant were: 2. 930% for SO, 1. 552% for CO, -0. 637% for O, 0. 516% for PM, and 0. 405% for PM. NO showed the largest change at lag11 (1. 376%). In multi-day lag models, changes peaked at lag011-014. Stratified analyses revealed children aged 0-14 years as particularly vulnerable during the cold season and COVID-19 period. The study demonstrates that short-term lags and cumulative effects of air pollution exposure increase influenza incidence, significant for establishing influenza response strategies.

Concepts Keywords
China air pollution
Influenza generalized additive models
Models incidence
Influenza
time series

Semantics

Type Source Name
drug DRUGBANK Medical air
disease MESH influenza
disease MESH COVID-19

Original Article

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