Inequities in Excess Pandemic Mortality Among Documented and Undocumented Immigrants in California, 2020-2023.

Publication date: Jul 24, 2025

Objectives. To examine how excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic differed by legal status and its intersections with sociodemographic factors, overall and among working-age Latinos. Methods. Using death records from Californian adults (aged ≥ 25 years) with a natural cause of death, we estimated excess mortality between March 2020 and May 2023, using ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) models fit to prepandemic data spanning January 2016 through February 2020. We used country of birth and social security number (SSN) to classify decedents as US-born, foreign-born with a valid SSN (“documented”), or foreign-born without a valid SSN (“undocumented”). We assessed intersectional disparities with 5 sociodemographic factors. Results. Pandemic period relative excess mortality was twice as high among undocumented as documented immigrants. Across subgroups, undocumented Latino essential workers experienced the highest relative excess mortality (91% increase; 95% prediction interval [PI] = 60%, 138%); US-born White adults experienced the lowest relative excess mortality (8% increase; 95% PI = 3%, 14%). Conclusions. Undocumented legal status increased the risk of death during the pandemic among immigrants in California. Public Health Implications. Our findings urge attention to the exclusion of immigrants from health care and social services in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print July 24, 2025:e1-e10. https://doi. org/10. 2105/AJPH. 2025. 308150).

Concepts Keywords
February Born
July California
Latinos Covid
Pandemic Death
Documented
Excess
Immigrants
Legal
Mortality
Pandemic
Public
Relative
Ssn
Status
Undocumented

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH COVID-19 pandemic
disease MESH death
disease MESH cause of death
disease IDO country

Original Article

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