Dynamic effects of COVID-19 vaccination on major acute cardiovascular events and mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection in a target trial emulation study.

Publication date: Jul 29, 2025

The COVID-19 pandemic presents significant health challenges, including increased risk of mortality and long-term complications. While vaccination has proven remarkably effective in mitigating severe disease and mortality associated with acute COVID-19 infection, the long-term implications of vaccination, particularly its influence on post-COVID cardiovascular events and the temporal dynamics of such effects, remain poorly understood. This target trial emulation study utilizes real-world electronic medical record data from April 2021 to March 2023 to address this gap. We evaluate the effect of pre-infection COVID-19 vaccination on the risk of major acute cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality in individuals aged 40-85 years during one year after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among individuals with COVID-19 (n = 18,223 vaccinated, n = 15,331 not vaccinated), vaccination provided a significant protective effect against MACE (weighted incidence rate ratio [wIRR] 0. 71, 95% CI 0. 58-0. 84) and all-cause mortality (wIRR 0. 32, 95% CI 0. 28-0. 36). This effect persisted for approximately three months after the acute infection. These findings underscore the importance of COVID-19 vaccination in reducing both short-term and long-term health risks associated with the infection.

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Concepts Keywords
April Cardiac events
Mace COVID-19
Pandemic DAG.
Vaccination Death
Directed acyclic graph
Long COVID
MACE
Mortality
PACS
Post-acute COVID syndrome
Target trial emulation
Vaccination

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH COVID-19
pathway REACTOME SARS-CoV-2 Infection
disease MESH complications
disease MESH infection
disease IDO acute infection
disease MESH Long Covid
disease MESH Death
disease MESH syndrome
disease MESH Cardiac events
disease IDO antibiotic resistance
disease MESH symptom burden
drug DRUGBANK Coenzyme M
disease MESH breakthrough infections
disease MESH atherosclerosis
disease MESH frailty
disease MESH myocardial infarction
disease MESH ischemic stroke
disease MESH fatal outcomes
disease MESH viral load
disease MESH influenza
disease MESH inflammation
disease IDO immune response
disease MESH arterial stiffness
drug DRUGBANK Isoxaflutole
disease MESH stroke
disease MESH reinfections
drug DRUGBANK Azelaic acid
disease MESH premature death
disease MESH pulmonary diseases
disease MESH respiratory failure
disease MESH education level

Original Article

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