Aerosol sampling-based infection risk model for spatiotemporal resolution informed evaluation of on-site transmission risk.

Aerosol sampling-based infection risk model for spatiotemporal resolution informed evaluation of on-site transmission risk.

Publication date: Sep 15, 2025

Accurate quantification of on-site airborne transmission risk is critical for epidemic prevention and control. Environmental modeling study is hard for on-site monitoring of pathogens while instrument-based detection face barriers to evaluate potential risk directly. This study developed an aerosol sampling-based infection risk model (AS-IRM) that integrates the instruments, collection, and detection into the risk evaluation model. We demonstrated AS-IRM quantitatively evaluate potential transmission risk affected by interventions (exposure time, social distance, wearing mask) based on sampled pathogen. The study also introduced the aerosol-to-hydrosol enrichment rate (ER) as a standardized metric for describing the spatiotemporal risk assessment capability of monitoring systems. Specifically, an ER exceeding 3. 02 cD7 10⁴ s can achieve five-second temporal resolution for accurate quantification of infection risk in micro-scale spaces (0. 002 m^3). Comparative study shows that existing theoretical models may significantly misestimate infection risk at various stages of aerosol transmission. Our developed AS-IRM aims to bridging the gap between pathogen monitoring technologies and risk models, which can refer to effective public health decision-making and future epidemic control.

Concepts Keywords
002m Aerosol Sampling
Environmental Aerosols
Epidemic Aerosols
Hydrosol Air Microbiology
Interventions AS-IRM
COVID-19
Enrichment Effect
Environmental Monitoring
Humans
Infection Risk Assessment
Models, Theoretical
Risk Assessment
SARS-CoV-2
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Spatiotemporal Resolution

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH infection
disease IDO site
disease IDO pathogen
drug DRUGBANK Medical air
disease MESH COVID-19

Original Article

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