Economic resilience in Central Africa in the face of COVID-19: corruption, a hindrance or a key factor?

Economic resilience in Central Africa in the face of COVID-19: corruption, a hindrance or a key factor?

Publication date: Sep 19, 2025

The COVID-19 health crisis has triggered major economic shocks globally, particularly affecting the fragile economies of Central Africa. The region, faced with institutional challenges and sometimes fragile governance, has had to implement strict health measures (lockdowns, border closures, etc. ) to limit the spread of the virus. However, the impact of these measures on economic resilience remains underexplored, particularly with regard to the influence of corruption in this process. This study aims to analyze the effects of COVID-19 control measures on economic resilience in the region, with a specific focus on the role of corruption. The study is based on an econometric analysis using panel data covering several Central African countries during the pandemic. We use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Triple Least Squares (TLS) regressions to estimate the impact of economic support policies, health measures, and corruption on the economic resilience index. Variables include income support, debt relief, and other health measures such as school and workplace closures. The corruption indicator is included to assess its influence on economic recovery. The results show that income support policies and debt relief have a significant impact on economic resilience, but corruption exacerbates the negative effects on growth. Countries with higher levels of corruption experience slower economic recovery. Health measures such as school and workplace closures also have negative effects, although these are mitigated by appropriate support policies. This study reveals that corruption plays a key role in post-COVID economic resilience in Central Africa. More transparent governance and stronger institutions are crucial to building resilience in the face of health crises. Recommendations include better management of public resources and the adoption of more inclusive economic policies to accelerate economic recovery.

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Concepts Keywords
Africa Africa, Central
Corruption Central Africa
Covid Corruption
Recovery COVID-19
Workplace Economic growth
GDP
Humans
Models, Econometric
Pandemics
Resilience
SARS-CoV-2

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH COVID-19
disease IDO process
disease IDO role
drug DRUGBANK Tropicamide
pathway REACTOME Reproduction
drug DRUGBANK Isoxaflutole
drug DRUGBANK Coenzyme M
drug DRUGBANK Diethylstilbestrol
disease IDO history
disease MESH shock
disease IDO production
disease MESH uncertainty
disease MESH Plague
disease MESH AIDS
drug DRUGBANK Cysteamine
drug DRUGBANK Nonoxynol-9
drug DRUGBANK Hexocyclium
disease IDO country
drug DRUGBANK Indoleacetic acid
disease MESH unemployment
drug DRUGBANK Trestolone
drug DRUGBANK Tretamine
drug DRUGBANK Aspartame
drug DRUGBANK Vildagliptin
drug DRUGBANK Esomeprazole
drug DRUGBANK Proline

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