A systems approach for anticipating post-pandemic forecast challenges for pediatric influenza and hospital burden.

A systems approach for anticipating post-pandemic forecast challenges for pediatric influenza and hospital burden.

Publication date: Dec 16, 2025

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted influenza forecasting, making it challenging for hospitals to anticipate the severity of upcoming flu seasons relative to typical annual respiratory virus patterns. Even for influenza, health facilities often lack precise information on potential influenza surges, which hinders hospital management’s ability to anticipate necessary changes with respect to hospital staffing and resource allocation for an influx of patients. This study addresses this critical gap by developing an enhanced predictive model for pediatric influenza hospitalizations in Massachusetts. By integrating data from the Health and Human Services (HHS) Protect Public Data Hub, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) FluSurv-NET, U. S. Department of Transportation (DOT) mobility data, and regional hospitalization rates, we demonstrate how recent improvements in data analytics and population tracking can amplify disease forecasts, and more precisely anticipate hospital burden relative to historical patient intake and hospital utilization trends.

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Concepts Keywords
Annual Anticipate
Influenza Anticipating
Massachusetts Burden
Pediatric Covid
Staffing Disrupted
Forecast
Forecasting
Hospital
Influenza
Making
Pandemic
Pediatric
Post
Relative
Systems

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH influenza
disease MESH COVID-19 pandemic
disease MESH HHS
drug DRUGBANK Huperzine B
disease MESH Rai
pathway REACTOME Reproduction
disease MESH included
disease MESH Park
disease MESH bed
disease MESH emergency
disease MESH strain
disease MESH face
disease MESH infections
drug DRUGBANK Isoxaflutole
disease MESH MAE
disease MESH cap
drug DRUGBANK Etoperidone
drug DRUGBANK Coenzyme M
disease MESH Infectious Disease
pathway REACTOME Infectious disease
disease MESH respiratory infections
disease MESH plan
disease MESH bronchiolitis
disease MESH NHS
disease MESH Capa
disease MESH coinfection
drug DRUGBANK Pyruvic acid
disease MESH Death

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