Effectiveness of seasonal mRNA COVID-19 vaccination against post COVID-19 condition between July 2023 and September 2024 among adults aged ≥ 60 years in Germany: a population-based cohort study.

Publication date: Jun 13, 2026

Some individuals infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 experience long-term symptoms, termed post COVID-19 condition (PCC). Pandemic-era studies have demonstrated moderate effectiveness of COVID-19-vaccines in preventing PCC. However, as population immunity has evolved and variant-adapted vaccines have been introduced, estimates of vaccine effectiveness and disease frequency from the post-pandemic era are needed to guide policy-making and communication. We investigated whether one mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose during the 2023/2024 season was associated with reduced PCC risk in the following six months among adults aged ≥ 60 years in Germany. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using nationwide, outpatient claims data and performed descriptive and Poisson regression analyses. In our cohort of 19,121,674 patients, 3,437,701 (18. 0%) received one dose of a seasonal COVID-19 vaccine and 36,830 fulfilled the PCC case definition (incidence: 0. 2%). Vaccinated individuals were older (median age 75 years) compared to those who were not vaccinated (71 years), with a higher proportion being female (54% vs. 46% male). 0. 08% of vaccinated patients were diagnosed with PCC during study follow-up, compared to 0. 22% non-vaccinated. One vaccine dose was associated with lower risk (adjusted Risk Ratio 0. 37; 95% CI 0. 36-0. 39) of receiving a PCC diagnosis at six months post-vaccination compared to no vaccination, translating to a vaccine effectiveness of 63%. Our results demonstrate a low PCC-incidence and a strong protective association between seasonal COVID-19 vaccination and PCC during the first post-pandemic season. These findings can help improve acceptance of COVID-19-vaccines and support doctors’ and patients’ decision-making regarding vaccination.

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Concepts Keywords
Coronavirus Aged
Germany Aged, 80 and over
July Cohort Studies
Outpatient Cohort study
COVID-19
COVID-19
COVID-19 Vaccines
COVID-19 Vaccines
Female
Germany
Germany
Humans
Immunisation
Long COVID
Male
Middle Aged
Retrospective Studies
SARS-CoV-2
Seasons
Vaccination
Vaccine effectiveness
Vaccine Efficacy

Semantics

Type Source Name
disease MESH COVID-19
disease MESH severe acute respiratory syndrome
drug DRUGBANK Factor IX Complex (Human)
disease MESH PCC
disease MESH Infectious Diseases
pathway REACTOME Reproduction
disease MESH included
disease MESH Long COVID
disease MESH infection
disease MESH dis
disease MESH ICD
disease MESH death
disease MESH Ger
disease MESH cancer
pathway REACTOME Immune System
disease MESH liver disease
disease MESH chronic diseases
drug DRUGBANK Indoleacetic acid
disease MESH char
disease MESH reinfections
disease MESH plan
drug DRUGBANK Fosfomycin
disease MESH FCM
drug DRUGBANK (S)-Des-Me-Ampa
drug DRUGBANK Varicella Zoster Vaccine (Live/Attenuated)
disease MESH influenza
drug DRUGBANK L-Tyrosine

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